modeling

As we turn to social mingling once again, those of us blessed with 20-20 hindsight glasses are increasingly angry at the models used by policymakers in locking us down. It is time to speak of the misuse of tools and regret.
It's quite likely that the human toll from COVID-19 will not be as bad as the prediction models forecasted. That's because models contain simplifying assumptions that rarely hold true in the real world; our human response is probably the least predictable of all. And yet, while all models are useful, all models are also wrong.